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Montreal Canadiens at Tampa Bay Lightning Win Probability Chart (May 03, 2026)

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Montreal Canadiens at Tampa Bay Lightning

May 03, 2026
Tampa Bay Lightning pregame win prob 58.3%

Win Probability Timeline

Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
0%25%50%75%100%P1 EndP2 EndP3 End Home Win Probability Game Time
Lead changes 3
Biggest swing 39.0 pp
Home time led 60.3%
Away time led 39.7%

Key Moments

Goals, period starts, and game end.
#PeriodTimeEventScoreHome Win Prob
411118:39goal0-146.0%
52100:00period-start0-055.4%
698213:27goal1-169.5%
447200:00period-start0-144.6%
580320:00game-end1-211.8%
1051311:07goal1-231.6%
795300:00period-start1-168.6%