Montreal Canadiens at Toronto Maple Leafs Win Probability Chart (Sep 29, 2026)
In-Game Dashboard
Montreal Canadiens at Toronto Maple Leafs
Toronto Maple Leafs pregame win prob
56.3%
Win Probability Timeline
Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
Lead changes
1
Biggest swing
22.4 pp
Home time led
41.4%
Away time led
58.6%
The Flood (3-straight)MTL
Key Moments
Goals, period starts, and game end.| # | Period | Time | Event | Score | Home Win Prob |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 52 | 1 | 00:00 | period-start | 0-0 | 56.3% |
| 62 | 1 | 00:48 | goal | 1-0 | 67.9% |
| 203 | 1 | 10:53 | goal | 1-1 | 54.7% |
| 390 | 2 | 00:00 | period-start | 1-1 | 55.0% |
| 602 | 2 | 04:52 | goal | 1-2 | 33.5% |
| 816 | 3 | 00:00 | period-start | 1-2 | 28.0% |
| 1047 | 3 | 13:12 | goal | 1-3 | 3.4% |
| 1088 | 3 | 15:46 | goal | 2-3 | 14.3% |
| 516 | 3 | 20:00 | game-end | 2-3 | 0.0% |