Ottawa Senators at Toronto Maple Leafs Win Probability Chart (Oct 03, 2026)
In-Game Dashboard
Ottawa Senators at Toronto Maple Leafs
Toronto Maple Leafs pregame win prob
62.6%
Win Probability Timeline
Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
Lead changes
3
Biggest swing
37.0 pp
Home time led
80.1%
Away time led
19.9%
The Flood (2-straight)TOR
Key Moments
Goals, period starts, and game end.| # | Period | Time | Event | Score | Home Win Prob |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 54 | 1 | 00:00 | period-start | 0-0 | 62.6% |
| 414 | 1 | 18:51 | goal | 0-1 | 44.7% |
| 443 | 2 | 00:00 | period-start | 0-1 | 45.1% |
| 503 | 2 | 00:33 | goal | 1-1 | 61.6% |
| 643 | 2 | 07:06 | goal | 2-1 | 73.7% |
| 722 | 2 | 12:40 | goal | 2-2 | 61.4% |
| 823 | 3 | 00:00 | period-start | 2-2 | 61.0% |
| 958 | 3 | 09:46 | goal | 2-3 | 18.2% |
| 473 | 3 | 20:00 | game-end | 2-3 | 0.0% |