Washington Capitals at Tampa Bay Lightning Win Probability Chart (Oct 03, 2026)
In-Game Dashboard
Washington Capitals at Tampa Bay Lightning
Tampa Bay Lightning pregame win prob
54.8%
Win Probability Timeline
Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
Lead changes
0
Biggest swing
14.8 pp
Home time led
100.0%
Away time led
0.0%
The Flood (2-straight)TBL
Key Moments
Goals, period starts, and game end.| # | Period | Time | Event | Score | Home Win Prob |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 52 | 1 | 00:00 | period-start | 0-0 | 54.8% |
| 81 | 1 | 02:26 | goal | 1-0 | 68.4% |
| 326 | 1 | 16:30 | goal | 2-0 | 84.6% |
| 386 | 2 | 00:00 | period-start | 2-0 | 84.8% |
| 522 | 2 | 07:04 | goal | 2-1 | 73.0% |
| 803 | 3 | 00:00 | period-start | 2-1 | 78.7% |
| 1151 | 3 | 17:55 | goal | 3-1 | 98.1% |
| 465 | 3 | 20:00 | game-end | 3-1 | 100.0% |