Philadelphia Flyers at Tampa Bay Lightning Win Probability Chart (Oct 05, 2026)
In-Game Dashboard
Philadelphia Flyers at Tampa Bay Lightning
Tampa Bay Lightning pregame win prob
79.3%
Win Probability Timeline
Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
Lead changes
0
Biggest swing
9.1 pp
Home time led
100.0%
Away time led
0.0%
The Flood (2-straight)TBL
The Grip (entering P3)TBL — xG +1.6
Key Moments
Goals, period starts, and game end.| # | Period | Time | Event | Score | Home Win Prob |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 52 | 1 | 00:00 | period-start | 0-0 | 79.3% |
| 322 | 1 | 16:05 | goal | 1-0 | 89.8% |
| 370 | 2 | 00:00 | period-start | 1-0 | 90.3% |
| 371 | 2 | 00:17 | goal | 2-0 | 95.2% |
| 514 | 2 | 07:22 | goal | 2-1 | 90.1% |
| 686 | 3 | 00:00 | period-start | 2-1 | 92.1% |
| 1021 | 3 | 17:00 | goal | 3-1 | 98.8% |
| 1058 | 3 | 19:53 | goal | 4-1 | 99.6% |
| 438 | 3 | 20:00 | game-end | 4-1 | 100.0% |