Toronto Maple Leafs at Vegas Golden Knights Win Probability Chart (Oct 08, 2026)
In-Game Dashboard
Toronto Maple Leafs at Vegas Golden Knights
Vegas Golden Knights pregame win prob
53.4%
Win Probability Timeline
Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
Lead changes
4
Biggest swing
20.9 pp
Home time led
70.8%
Away time led
29.2%
The Flood (3-straight)TOR
The Grip (entering P3)VGK — xG +1.6
Key Moments
Goals, period starts, and game end.| # | Period | Time | Event | Score | Home Win Prob |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 52 | 1 | 00:00 | period-start | 0-0 | 53.4% |
| 61 | 1 | 00:34 | goal | 0-1 | 33.2% |
| 99 | 1 | 03:20 | goal | 0-2 | 24.0% |
| 175 | 1 | 08:37 | goal | 0-3 | 12.4% |
| 391 | 1 | 17:36 | goal | 1-3 | 17.6% |
| 428 | 2 | 00:00 | period-start | 1-3 | 17.0% |
| 442 | 2 | 01:12 | goal | 2-3 | 33.0% |
| 202 | 2 | 03:58 | goal | 3-3 | 53.9% |
| 840 | 3 | 00:00 | period-start | 3-3 | 53.5% |
| 1114 | 4 | 00:00 | period-start | 3-3 | 55.0% |
| 539 | 5 | 00:00 | period-start | 3-3 | 54.6% |
| 212 | 5 | 00:00 | goal | 3-3 | 54.6% |
| 264 | 5 | 00:00 | goal | 3-3 | 54.6% |
| 214 | 5 | 00:00 | goal | 3-3 | 54.6% |
| 570 | 5 | 00:00 | game-end | 3-3 | 54.6% |