Tampa Bay Lightning vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction (Nov 30, 2024)
Tampa Bay Lightning vs Toronto Maple Leafs — Nov 30, 2024
Model last updated: Aug 26, 2026 09:31 AM PDT; data source: schedule_predictions.csv
Detailed NHL game prediction for Tampa Bay Lightning vs Toronto Maple Leafs: pregame win probabilities, expected goals, and projected totals from our NHLForecasts model.
Explore more matchups on the NHL games calendar or full modeled schedule. See how this game impacts NHL playoff odds & Stanley Cup probabilities, or review team pages for longer-term edges on Tampa Bay Lightning and Toronto Maple Leafs.
Tampa Bay Lightning 54.9%
Toronto Maple Leafs 45.1%
Pregame win probability
Expected goals: Tampa Bay Lightning 3.41 — Toronto Maple Leafs 3.19 • Median total: 6.2
Expected Goals Comparison
Tampa Bay Lightning
3.56
xG/game (Season)
Toronto Maple Leafs
3.05
xG/game (Season)
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