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2026-27 Preseason

Toronto Maple Leafs vs New York Islanders Prediction (Dec 31, 2024)

Toronto Maple Leafs vs New York Islanders — Dec 31, 2024

Model last updated: Aug 26, 2026 09:31 AM PDT; data source: schedule_predictions.csv

Detailed NHL game prediction for Toronto Maple Leafs vs New York Islanders: pregame win probabilities, expected goals, and projected totals from our NHLForecasts model.

Explore more matchups on the NHL games calendar or full modeled schedule. See how this game impacts NHL playoff odds & Stanley Cup probabilities, or review team pages for longer-term edges on Toronto Maple Leafs and New York Islanders.

Toronto Maple Leafs 55.8% New York Islanders 44.2%
Pregame win probability

Expected goals: Toronto Maple Leafs 3.84 — New York Islanders 2.99 • Median total: 5.8

Expected Goals Comparison

Toronto Maple Leafs
3.05
xG/game (Season)
New York Islanders
3.27
xG/game (Season)