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2026-27 Preseason

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Calgary Flames Prediction (Feb 27, 2025)

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Calgary Flames — Feb 27, 2025

Model last updated: Aug 26, 2026 09:31 AM PDT; data source: schedule_predictions.csv

Detailed NHL game prediction for Tampa Bay Lightning vs Calgary Flames: pregame win probabilities, expected goals, and projected totals from our NHLForecasts model.

Explore more matchups on the NHL games calendar or full modeled schedule. See how this game impacts NHL playoff odds & Stanley Cup probabilities, or review team pages for longer-term edges on Tampa Bay Lightning and Calgary Flames.

Tampa Bay Lightning 63.6% Calgary Flames 36.4%
Pregame win probability

Expected goals: Tampa Bay Lightning 3.71 — Calgary Flames 2.54 • Median total: 5.9

Expected Goals Comparison

Tampa Bay Lightning
3.56
xG/game (Season)
Calgary Flames
2.94
xG/game (Season)
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