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2026-27 Preseason

Vegas Golden Knights vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction (Mar 05, 2025)

Vegas Golden Knights vs Toronto Maple Leafs — Mar 05, 2025

Model last updated: Aug 26, 2026 09:31 AM PDT; data source: schedule_predictions.csv

Detailed NHL game prediction for Vegas Golden Knights vs Toronto Maple Leafs: pregame win probabilities, expected goals, and projected totals from our NHLForecasts model.

Explore more matchups on the NHL games calendar or full modeled schedule. See how this game impacts NHL playoff odds & Stanley Cup probabilities, or review team pages for longer-term edges on Vegas Golden Knights and Toronto Maple Leafs.

Vegas Golden Knights 72.5% Toronto Maple Leafs 27.5%
Pregame win probability

Expected goals: Vegas Golden Knights 4.24 — Toronto Maple Leafs 2.83 • Median total: 6.3

Expected Goals Comparison

Vegas Golden Knights
3.44
xG/game (Season)
Toronto Maple Leafs
3.05
xG/game (Season)
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