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2025-26 Season Live

Ottawa Senators vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction (Mar 21, 2026)

Ottawa Senators vs Toronto Maple Leafs — Mar 21, 2026

Model last updated: Mar 19, 2026 05:36 PM PDT; data source: schedule_predictions.csv

Detailed NHL game prediction for Ottawa Senators vs Toronto Maple Leafs: pregame win probabilities, expected goals, and projected totals from our NHLForecasts model.

Explore more matchups on the NHL games calendar or full modeled schedule. See how this game impacts NHL playoff odds & Stanley Cup probabilities, or review team pages for longer-term edges on Ottawa Senators and Toronto Maple Leafs.

Pregame win probability: Ottawa Senators 61.3% • Toronto Maple Leafs 38.7%

Expected goals: Ottawa Senators 3.66 — Toronto Maple Leafs 2.81 • Median total: 6.5

Expected Goals Comparison

Ottawa Senators
3.42
xG/game (Season)
Toronto Maple Leafs
3.16
xG/game (Season)