Tampa Bay Lightning vs Ottawa Senators Prediction (Mar 28, 2026)

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Ottawa Senators — Mar 28, 2026

Detailed NHL game prediction for Tampa Bay Lightning vs Ottawa Senators: pregame win probabilities, expected goals, and projected totals from our NHLForecasts model.

Explore more matchups on the NHL games calendar or full modeled schedule. See how this game impacts NHL playoff odds & Stanley Cup probabilities, or review team pages for longer-term edges on Tampa Bay Lightning and Ottawa Senators.

Pregame win probability: Tampa Bay Lightning 56.8% • Ottawa Senators 43.2%

Expected goals: Tampa Bay Lightning 3.34 — Ottawa Senators 3.40 • Median total: 6.7