Montreal Canadiens vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction (May 01, 2026)
Montreal Canadiens vs Tampa Bay Lightning — May 01, 2026
Model last updated: Apr 28, 2026 11:21 PM PDT; data source: schedule_predictions.csv
Detailed NHL game prediction for Montreal Canadiens vs Tampa Bay Lightning: pregame win probabilities, expected goals, and projected totals from our NHLForecasts model.
Explore more matchups on the NHL games calendar or full modeled schedule. See how this game impacts NHL playoff odds & Stanley Cup probabilities, or review team pages for longer-term edges on Montreal Canadiens and Tampa Bay Lightning.
Pregame win probability: Montreal Canadiens 58.4% • Tampa Bay Lightning 41.6%
Expected goals: Montreal Canadiens 3.50 — Tampa Bay Lightning 2.16 • Median total: 4.3
Expected Goals Comparison
Montreal Canadiens
3.53
xG/game (Season)
Tampa Bay Lightning
3.57
xG/game (Season)
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