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2026-27 Preseason

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Ottawa Senators Prediction (Oct 03, 2026)

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Ottawa Senators — Oct 03, 2026

Model last updated: Aug 08, 2026 09:40 AM PDT; data source: schedule_predictions.csv

Detailed NHL game prediction for Toronto Maple Leafs vs Ottawa Senators: pregame win probabilities, expected goals, and projected totals from our NHLForecasts model.

Explore more matchups on the NHL games calendar or full modeled schedule. See how this game impacts NHL playoff odds & Stanley Cup probabilities, or review team pages for longer-term edges on Toronto Maple Leafs and Ottawa Senators.

Pregame win probability: Toronto Maple Leafs 38.9% • Ottawa Senators 61.1%

Expected goals: Toronto Maple Leafs 1.37 — Ottawa Senators 4.66 • Median total: 6.3

Expected Goals Comparison

Toronto Maple Leafs
3.05
xG/game (Season)
Ottawa Senators
3.45
xG/game (Season)