Toronto Maple Leafs vs New York Islanders Prediction (Oct 17, 2026)

Toronto Maple Leafs vs New York Islanders — Oct 17, 2026

Detailed NHL game prediction for Toronto Maple Leafs vs New York Islanders: pregame win probabilities, expected goals, and projected totals from our NHLForecasts model.

Explore more matchups on the NHL games calendar or full modeled schedule. See how this game impacts NHL playoff odds & Stanley Cup probabilities, or review team pages for longer-term edges on Toronto Maple Leafs and New York Islanders.

Pregame win probability: Toronto Maple Leafs 41.5% • New York Islanders 58.5%

Expected goals: Toronto Maple Leafs 1.88 — New York Islanders 2.78 • Median total: 6.6