Tampa Bay Lightning vs Pittsburgh Penguins Prediction (Dec 12, 2026)

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Pittsburgh Penguins — Dec 12, 2026

Detailed NHL game prediction for Tampa Bay Lightning vs Pittsburgh Penguins: pregame win probabilities, expected goals, and projected totals from our NHLForecasts model.

Explore more matchups on the NHL games calendar or full modeled schedule. See how this game impacts NHL playoff odds & Stanley Cup probabilities, or review team pages for longer-term edges on Tampa Bay Lightning and Pittsburgh Penguins.

Pregame win probability: Tampa Bay Lightning 51.4% • Pittsburgh Penguins 48.6%

Expected goals: Tampa Bay Lightning 1.64 — Pittsburgh Penguins 3.93 • Median total: 5.9