Tampa Bay Lightning vs Calgary Flames Prediction (Dec 17, 2026)

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Calgary Flames — Dec 17, 2026

Detailed NHL game prediction for Tampa Bay Lightning vs Calgary Flames: pregame win probabilities, expected goals, and projected totals from our NHLForecasts model.

Explore more matchups on the NHL games calendar or full modeled schedule. See how this game impacts NHL playoff odds & Stanley Cup probabilities, or review team pages for longer-term edges on Tampa Bay Lightning and Calgary Flames.

Pregame win probability: Tampa Bay Lightning 51.2% • Calgary Flames 48.8%

Expected goals: Tampa Bay Lightning 1.58 — Calgary Flames 3.87 • Median total: 6.1