🏒 NHLForecasts.com
Data-Driven NHL Predictions & Analytics
2026-27 Preseason

Pittsburgh Penguins vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction (Feb 02, 2027)

Pittsburgh Penguins vs Tampa Bay Lightning — Feb 02, 2027

Model last updated: Aug 08, 2026 09:40 AM PDT; data source: schedule_predictions.csv

Detailed NHL game prediction for Pittsburgh Penguins vs Tampa Bay Lightning: pregame win probabilities, expected goals, and projected totals from our NHLForecasts model.

Explore more matchups on the NHL games calendar or full modeled schedule. See how this game impacts NHL playoff odds & Stanley Cup probabilities, or review team pages for longer-term edges on Pittsburgh Penguins and Tampa Bay Lightning.

Pregame win probability: Pittsburgh Penguins 38.0% • Tampa Bay Lightning 62.0%

Expected goals: Pittsburgh Penguins 1.26 — Tampa Bay Lightning 4.21 • Median total: 5.9

Expected Goals Comparison

Pittsburgh Penguins
3.45
xG/game (Season)
Tampa Bay Lightning
3.56
xG/game (Season)