St. Louis Blues Playoff Odds & Team Stats
St. Louis Blues
STL
Western
Season Record:
3-4-1
(7 pts, 43.8%)
Last 5 games:
50% win rate
As of Oct 18, the St. Louis Blues have a 57.9% chance to make the playoffs.
Will the St. Louis Blues make the playoffs?
It's close to a coin flip. Our season simulation gives the St. Louis Blues a 57.9% chance to make the playoffs (fair odds -137) and a 2.5% chance to win the Stanley Cup (fair odds +3,837). It is early in the season, so expect these numbers to move a lot.
Points Percentage
43.8%
7 pts in 8 games
Overtime Record
0-1
OT/SO: 0 wins, 1 losses
Recent Expected Goals
3.31
For per game (last 10 games)
Expected Goals Against
3.02
Allowed per game (season-to-date)
xG Differential
+0.09
Expected goals for minus against (per game)
Goals Above Expected
+2.1
Actual goals for minus expected goals for
Flood Games
4
3W – 1L when a Flood occurred
Grip Games
0
0W – 0L when the Grip was held
Playoff Odds
57.9%
Chance to make playoffs (fair odds -137). Early season: expect big swings.
Stanley Cup Odds
2.5%
Fair odds +3,837, from the season-long simulation.
Conference Outlook
6.4%
Western Conference title probability.
Team Style Profile
Percentiles vs the league this season (p100 = top). Style axes describe how a team plays (higher isn't better or worse); colored axes are evaluative (higher = better), and variance axes (finishing, goaltending) tend to regress — treat them as luck, not skill.
Offense
Shot Volume style
38.0/gm · p28
Slot Location style
28.3% · p34
Finishing variance
1.08 G/xG · p72
Shot Quality
0.082 xG/sh · p84
Defense
Shot Suppression
40.4/gm · p56
Slot Defense
23.2% allowed · p97
Goaltending variance
1.16 GA/xGA · p22
Quality Allowed
0.075 xG/sh · p66
Regression Watch
St. Louis Blues is finishing 8% above expected (1.08). This often regresses downward.
Top Scorers (xG Leaders)
| Player | GP | Unblocked attempts | xG | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason McTavish | 8 | 40 | 4.7 | 5 |
| Jimmy Snuggerud | 8 | 32 | 3.0 | 4 |
| Connor McMichael | 7 | 19 | 1.9 | 2 |
| Pavel Buchnevich | 7 | 16 | 1.8 | 1 |
| Pius Suter | 7 | 16 | 1.7 | 3 |
Team Trends (15-game rolling)
Recent Results
| Date | Opponent | Pred Win% | Exp For | Exp Against | xG For | xG Against | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-17 | NSH | 59.5% | 3.28 | 3.20 | 2.28 | 3.63 | L |
| 2026-10-15 | MIN | 54.3% | 3.36 | 3.18 | 3.18 | 4.98 | L |
| 2026-10-13 | OTT | 52.9% | 3.26 | 2.59 | 3.59 | 1.80 | W |
| 2026-10-10 | CBJ | 64.4% | 3.04 | 3.15 | 3.61 | 1.74 | W |
| 2026-10-08 | SJS | 62.7% | 3.68 | 2.97 | 3.41 | 2.43 | L |
| 2026-10-06 | CHI | 59.4% | 4.02 | 2.64 | 3.25 | 3.03 | L |
| 2026-10-03 | COL | 28.9% | 2.22 | 5.07 | 1.87 | 3.64 | L |
| 2026-10-02 | DAL | 51.6% | 3.73 | 2.42 | 3.73 | 2.96 | W |
| 2026-04-16 | UTA | 40.0% | 2.99 | 3.27 | - | - | W |
| 2026-04-14 | PIT | 47.4% | 3.54 | 2.99 | - | - | W |
Upcoming Games
| Date | Local Time | Opponent | Pred Win% | Exp For | Exp Against |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-20 | 7:00 PM CDT | WPG | 55.3% | 3.37 | 2.54 |
| 2026-10-22 | 7:00 PM CDT | VGK | 52.5% | 2.99 | 3.26 |
| 2026-10-24 | 6:00 PM CDT | CAR | 50.2% | 3.31 | 3.47 |
| 2026-10-27 | 7:00 PM CDT | MTL | 48.8% | 3.45 | 3.01 |
| 2026-10-29 | 7:00 PM CDT | BOS | 56.7% | 3.27 | 3.10 |
| 2026-10-31 | 1:00 PM EDT | DET | 46.8% | 3.23 | 2.91 |
| 2026-11-03 | 7:00 PM EST | NYR | 41.8% | 2.95 | 3.43 |
| 2026-11-05 | 7:00 PM EST | NJD | 29.4% | 2.49 | 3.66 |