TBL vs TOR - 2025-04-09
2025-04-09 • Amalie Arena
TBL 3 - 4 TOR
🚨 Upset Loss (69% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
TBL: 68.8%
TOR: 31.2%
Expected Goals
TBL: 3.82
TOR: 2.56
Total Goals
Median: 6.5
Over 5.5: 65%
Over 6.5: 50%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
TBL
Andrei Vasilevskiy - 18-7-2 | 0.912 SV% | 2.33 GAA
TOR
Joseph Woll - 11-4-2 | 0.918 SV% | 2.54 GAA
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 01:13 | TOR | Goal |
| 1 | 03:33 | TOR | Goal |
| 1 | 18:58 | TOR | Goal |
| 3 | 00:50 | TBL | Goal |
| 3 | 02:03 | TOR | Goal |
| 3 | 11:05 | TBL | Goal |
| 4 | 02:56 | TOR | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 68.8%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.4
Score Breakdown
TBL 3 - 4 TOR
Expected: 3.8 - 2.6