PIT vs NYI - 2025-10-09
2025-10-09 • PPG Paints Arena
PIT 4 - 3 NYI
🚨 Upset Win (50% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
PIT: 50.0%
NYI: 50.0%
Expected Goals
PIT: 4.08
NYI: 2.38
Total Goals
Median: 6.6
Over 5.5: 64%
Over 6.5: 51%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
PIT
Stuart Skinner - 14-12-4 | 0.893 SV% | 2.71 GAA
NYI
Ilya Sorokin - 14-10-2 | 0.915 SV% | 2.47 GAA
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 03:23 | PIT | Goal |
| 1 | 12:02 | PIT | Goal |
| 2 | 04:04 | NYI | Goal |
| 2 | 05:41 | PIT | Goal |
| 2 | 08:58 | PIT | Goal |
| 2 | 19:19 | PIT | Goal |
| 3 | 14:21 | PIT | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 50.0%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.5
Score Breakdown
PIT 4 - 3 NYI
Expected: 4.1 - 2.4