Carolina Hurricanes at Toronto Maple Leafs NHL Predictions
2025-11-09 • Scotiabank Arena
Toronto Maple Leafs 4 - 5 Carolina Hurricanes
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
TOR: 36.6%
CAR: 63.4%
Expected Goals
TOR: 2.75
CAR: 3.18
Total Goals
Median: 5.2
Over 5.5: 45%
Over 6.5: 31%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
TOR
Joseph Woll - 15-16-7 | 0.898 SV% | 3.34 GAA
CAR
Brandon Bussi - 31-6-2 | 0.894 SV% | 2.47 GAA
| Stat | TOR | CAR |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.914 | 0.901 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.863 | 0.887 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.917 | 0.848 |
| GAA | 2.74 | 2.33 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • TOR at home vs CAR: 1-4
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-20 | TOR 3 - 4 CAR | CAR | CAR |
| 2025-12-04 | CAR 1 - 5 TOR | TOR | CAR |
| 2025-11-09 | TOR 4 - 5 CAR | CAR | CAR |
| 2025-04-13 | CAR 1 - 4 TOR | TOR | CAR |
| 2025-02-22 | TOR 6 - 3 CAR | TOR | CAR |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 63.4%
Total Goals
Actual: 9.0
Expected: 5.9
Score Breakdown
Toronto Maple Leafs 4 - 5 Carolina Hurricanes
Expected: 2.8 - 3.2
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