Vancouver Canucks at Tampa Bay Lightning NHL Predictions

2025-11-16 • Benchmark International Arena

Tampa Bay Lightning 2 - 6 Vancouver Canucks

🚨 Upset Loss (67% underdog)

Win Probability

TBL: 66.5%

VAN: 33.5%

Expected Goals

TBL: 3.70

VAN: 2.59

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 46%

TBL

Andrei Vasilevskiy - 39-15-4 | 0.911 SV% | 2.31 GAA

VAN

Kevin Lankinen - 11-27-5 | 0.875 SV% | 3.70 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • TBL at home vs VAN: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-19	VAN 2 - 6 TBL	TBL	TBL
2025-11-16	TBL 2 - 6 VAN	VAN	TBL
2024-12-08	VAN 2 - 4 TBL	TBL	TBL
2024-10-15	TBL 4 - 1 VAN	TBL	TBL
2023-12-12	VAN 4 - 1 TBL	VAN	VAN

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 66.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Tampa Bay Lightning 2 - 6 Vancouver Canucks

Expected: 3.7 - 2.6