PIT vs TOR - 2025-11-29
2025-11-29 • PPG Paints Arena
PIT 2 - 7 TOR
🚨 Upset Loss (59% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
PIT: 59.3%
TOR: 40.7%
Expected Goals
PIT: 3.56
TOR: 2.74
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 61%
Over 6.5: 47%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
PIT
Stuart Skinner - 14-12-4 | 0.893 SV% | 2.71 GAA
TOR
Joseph Woll - 11-4-2 | 0.918 SV% | 2.54 GAA
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 06:46 | TOR | Goal |
| 1 | 08:14 | PIT | Goal |
| 1 | 11:06 | TOR | Goal |
| 2 | 02:24 | TOR | Goal |
| 2 | 04:53 | TOR | Goal |
| 2 | 13:58 | TOR | Goal |
| 3 | 04:37 | TOR | Goal |
| 3 | 07:14 | TOR | Goal |
| 3 | 13:16 | TOR | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 59.3%
Total Goals
Actual: 9.0
Expected: 6.3
Score Breakdown
PIT 2 - 7 TOR
Expected: 3.6 - 2.7