MTL vs TBL - 2025-12-09
2025-12-09 • Centre Bell
MTL 1 - 6 TBL
🚨 Upset Loss (51% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
MTL: 51.2%
TBL: 48.8%
Expected Goals
MTL: 2.93
TBL: 3.19
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 58%
Over 6.5: 44%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
MTL
Jakub Dobes - 14-5-3 | 0.888 SV% | 3.01 GAA
TBL
Andrei Vasilevskiy - 18-7-2 | 0.912 SV% | 2.33 GAA
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 02:27 | TBL | Goal |
| 1 | 06:03 | TBL | Goal |
| 1 | 17:12 | TBL | Goal |
| 2 | 02:43 | TBL | Goal |
| 2 | 19:06 | TBL | Goal |
| 3 | 01:22 | TBL | Goal |
| 3 | 08:41 | TBL | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 51.2%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.1
Score Breakdown
MTL 1 - 6 TBL
Expected: 2.9 - 3.2