Edmonton Oilers at Pittsburgh Penguins NHL Predictions

2025-12-16 • PPG Paints Arena

Pittsburgh Penguins 4 - 6 Edmonton Oilers

Win Probability

PIT: 50.0%

EDM: 50.0%

Expected Goals

PIT: 3.31

EDM: 3.21

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 65%

Over 6.5: 51%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • PIT at home vs EDM: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-22	EDM 2 - 6 PIT	PIT	EDM
2025-12-16	PIT 4 - 6 EDM	EDM	EDM
2025-01-09	PIT 5 - 3 EDM	PIT	EDM
2024-10-25	EDM 4 - 0 PIT	EDM	EDM
2024-03-10	PIT 0 - 4 EDM	EDM	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	PIT	11	0	0.82
1	EDM	24	3	2.14
2	PIT	12	0	0.76
2	EDM	13	0	0.89
3	PIT	21	2	2.14
3	EDM	9	1	1.11

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 50.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 10.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Pittsburgh Penguins 4 - 6 Edmonton Oilers

Expected: 3.3 - 3.2