New York Rangers at Washington Capitals NHL Predictions
2025-12-23 • Capital One Arena
Washington Capitals 3 - 7 New York Rangers
🚨 Upset Loss (63% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
WSH: 63.0%
NYR: 37.0%
Expected Goals
WSH: 3.21
NYR: 2.80
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 59%
Over 6.5: 42%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
WSH
Logan Thompson - 20-16-4 | 0.913 SV% | 2.41 GAA
NYR
Igor Shesterkin - 17-12-4 | 0.913 SV% | 2.45 GAA
| Stat | WSH | NYR |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.913 | 0.910 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.904 | 0.942 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.700 | 0.906 |
| GAA | 2.39 | 2.51 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 64% • WSH at home vs NYR: 5-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-31 | WSH 6 - 3 NYR | WSH | WSH |
| 2025-12-23 | WSH 3 - 7 NYR | NYR | WSH |
| 2025-10-12 | NYR 0 - 1 WSH | WSH | NYR |
| 2025-03-05 | NYR 2 - 3 WSH | WSH | NYR |
| 2025-01-04 | WSH 7 - 4 NYR | WSH | WSH |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14:57 | NYR | Goal |
| 2 | 00:23 | WSH | Goal |
| 2 | 08:40 | WSH | Goal |
| 2 | 11:14 | WSH | Goal |
| 2 | 12:11 | WSH | Goal |
| 3 | 08:10 | WSH | Goal |
| 3 | 09:18 | NYR | Goal |
| 3 | 13:43 | NYR | Goal |
| 3 | 17:44 | NYR | Goal |
| 3 | 18:09 | NYR | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 63.0%
Total Goals
Actual: 10.0
Expected: 6.0
Score Breakdown
Washington Capitals 3 - 7 New York Rangers
Expected: 3.2 - 2.8