New York Rangers at Washington Capitals NHL Predictions

2025-12-23 • Capital One Arena

Washington Capitals 3 - 7 New York Rangers

🚨 Upset Loss (58% underdog)

Win Probability

WSH: 58.4%

NYR: 41.6%

Expected Goals

WSH: 3.53

NYR: 2.49

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 43%

WSH

Logan Thompson - 31-21-6 | 0.912 SV% | 2.44 GAA

NYR

Igor Shesterkin - 25-19-6 | 0.912 SV% | 2.50 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • WSH at home vs NYR: 5-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-05	NYR 8 - 1 WSH	NYR	WSH
2025-12-31	WSH 6 - 3 NYR	WSH	WSH
2025-12-23	WSH 3 - 7 NYR	NYR	WSH
2025-10-12	NYR 0 - 1 WSH	WSH	NYR
2025-03-05	NYR 2 - 3 WSH	WSH	NYR

Period	Time	Team	Scorer
1	14:57	NYR	Goal
2	00:23	WSH	Goal
2	08:40	WSH	Goal
2	11:14	WSH	Goal
2	12:11	WSH	Goal
3	08:10	WSH	Goal
3	09:18	NYR	Goal
3	13:43	NYR	Goal
3	17:44	NYR	Goal
3	18:09	NYR	Goal

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 58.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 10.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Washington Capitals 3 - 7 New York Rangers

Expected: 3.5 - 2.5