TBL vs MTL - 2025-12-28
2025-12-28 • Benchmark International Arena
TBL 5 - 4 MTL
🚨 Upset Win (51% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
TBL: 48.9%
MTL: 51.1%
Expected Goals
TBL: 3.49
MTL: 2.87
Total Goals
Median: 6.3
Over 5.5: 63%
Over 6.5: 48%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
TBL
Andrei Vasilevskiy - 18-7-2 | 0.912 SV% | 2.33 GAA
MTL
Jakub Dobes - 14-5-3 | 0.888 SV% | 3.01 GAA
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 02:28 | TBL | Goal |
| 2 | 12:11 | TBL | Goal |
| 2 | 14:49 | TBL | Goal |
| 3 | 01:06 | TBL | Goal |
| 3 | 01:40 | TBL | Goal |
| 3 | 09:16 | TBL | Goal |
| 3 | 12:17 | TBL | Goal |
| 3 | 19:56 | TBL | Goal |
| 5 | 00:00 | TBL | Goal |
| 5 | 00:00 | TBL | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 51.1%
Total Goals
Actual: 9.0
Expected: 6.4
Score Breakdown
TBL 5 - 4 MTL
Expected: 3.5 - 2.9