New York Rangers at Washington Capitals NHL Predictions

2025-12-31 • Capital One Arena

Washington Capitals 6 - 3 New York Rangers

Win Probability

WSH: 61.0%

NYR: 39.0%

Expected Goals

WSH: 3.50

NYR: 3.04

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 48%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • WSH at home vs NYR: 5-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-05	NYR 8 - 1 WSH	NYR	NYR
2025-12-31	WSH 6 - 3 NYR	WSH	WSH
2025-12-23	WSH 3 - 7 NYR	NYR	WSH
2025-10-12	NYR 0 - 1 WSH	WSH	WSH
2025-03-05	NYR 2 - 3 WSH	WSH	NYR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WSH	11	1	0.77
1	NYR	8	1	0.66
2	WSH	18	3	1.80
2	NYR	16	0	1.03
3	WSH	13	1	1.80
3	NYR	16	0	0.79

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 61.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Washington Capitals 6 - 3 New York Rangers

Expected: 3.5 - 3.0