Toronto Maple Leafs at New York Islanders NHL Predictions

2026-01-03 • UBS Arena

New York Islanders 4 - 3 Toronto Maple Leafs (OT)

Win Probability

NYI: 58.7%

TOR: 41.3%

Expected Goals

NYI: 3.36

TOR: 2.87

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 69%

Over 6.5: 52%

NYI

Ilya Sorokin - 29-24-2 | 0.906 SV% | 2.68 GAA

TOR

Joseph Woll - 15-16-7 | 0.898 SV% | 3.34 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • NYI at home vs TOR: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-09	NYI 5 - 3 TOR	NYI	NYI
2026-03-17	TOR 1 - 3 NYI	NYI	NYI
2026-01-03	NYI 4 - 3 TOR	NYI	NYI
2025-01-02	NYI 1 - 2 TOR	TOR	NYI
2024-12-31	TOR 3 - 1 NYI	TOR	TOR

Period	Time	Team	Scorer
2	01:10	NYI	Goal
2	09:30	NYI	Goal
2	17:19	TOR	Goal
3	11:10	NYI	Goal
3	12:12	TOR	Goal
3	17:15	NYI	Goal
4	04:11	NYI	Goal

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 58.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

New York Islanders 4 - 3 Toronto Maple Leafs

Expected: 3.4 - 2.9