Washington Capitals at Montreal Canadiens NHL Predictions
2026-02-28 • Centre Bell
Montreal Canadiens vs Washington Capitals @ 7:00 PM EST
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
MTL: 67.5%
WSH: 32.5%
Expected Goals
MTL: 3.30
WSH: 2.82
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 60%
Over 6.5: 42%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
MTL
Jakub Dobes - 18-5-4 | 0.892 SV% | 2.96 GAA
WSH
Logan Thompson - 20-16-4 | 0.913 SV% | 2.41 GAA
| Stat | MTL | WSH |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.889 | 0.913 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.903 | 0.904 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.840 | 0.920 |
| GAA | 3.01 | 2.39 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 54% • MTL at home vs WSH: 2-4
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-13 | WSH 3 - 2 MTL | WSH | WSH |
| 2025-11-20 | MTL 4 - 8 WSH | WSH | MTL |
| 2025-04-30 | WSH 4 - 1 MTL | WSH | WSH |
| 2025-04-27 | MTL 2 - 5 WSH | WSH | MTL |
| 2025-04-25 | MTL 6 - 3 WSH | MTL | MTL |
🔮 Game Preview
This game is scheduled for 2026-02-28 at 7:00 PM EST.
Check back after the game for in-game win probability analysis and post-game results.