Philadelphia Flyers at Toronto Maple Leafs NHL Predictions

2026-03-02 • Scotiabank Arena

Toronto Maple Leafs 2 - 3 Philadelphia Flyers (SO)

Win Probability

TOR: 46.1%

PHI: 53.9%

Expected Goals

TOR: 2.97

PHI: 2.97

Total Goals

Median: 5.2

Over 5.5: 41%

Over 6.5: 28%

TOR

Joseph Woll - 15-16-7 | 0.898 SV% | 3.34 GAA

PHI

Dan Vladar - 29-14-7 | 0.906 SV% | 2.42 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • TOR at home vs PHI: 3-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-02	TOR 2 - 3 PHI	PHI	PHI
2026-01-08	PHI 1 - 2 TOR	TOR	PHI
2025-11-01	PHI 2 - 5 TOR	TOR	TOR
2025-03-25	TOR 7 - 2 PHI	TOR	TOR
2025-01-07	PHI 2 - 3 TOR	TOR	PHI

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 53.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown

Toronto Maple Leafs 2 - 3 Philadelphia Flyers

Expected: 3.0 - 3.0