San Jose Sharks at Ottawa Senators NHL Predictions

2026-03-15 • Canadian Tire Centre

Ottawa Senators 7 - 4 San Jose Sharks

Win Probability

OTT: 79.8%

SJS: 20.2%

Expected Goals

OTT: 4.45

SJS: 2.60

Total Goals

Median: 5.8

Over 5.5: 52%

Over 6.5: 39%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • OTT at home vs SJS: 3-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-15	OTT 7 - 4 SJS	OTT	OTT
2025-11-22	SJS 2 - 3 OTT	OTT	OTT
2025-03-01	OTT 5 - 3 SJS	OTT	OTT
2024-11-27	SJS 3 - 4 OTT	OTT	OTT
2024-03-09	SJS 2 - 1 OTT	SJS	OTT

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	OTT	16	1	1.94
1	SJS	14	1	1.00
2	OTT	18	1	1.53
2	SJS	7	0	0.53
3	OTT	14	2	1.67
3	SJS	10	1	0.46

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 79.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 11.0

Expected: 7.1

Score Breakdown

Ottawa Senators 7 - 4 San Jose Sharks

Expected: 4.5 - 2.6