Pittsburgh Penguins at Ottawa Senators NHL Predictions

2026-03-26 • Canadian Tire Centre

Ottawa Senators 3 - 4 Pittsburgh Penguins (SO)

🚨 Upset Loss (67% underdog)

Win Probability

OTT: 67.4%

PIT: 32.6%

Expected Goals

OTT: 3.68

PIT: 2.34

Total Goals

Median: 5.1

Over 5.5: 42%

Over 6.5: 29%

OTT

Linus Ullmark - 28-12-8 | 0.891 SV% | 2.73 GAA

PIT

Stuart Skinner - 23-17-9 | 0.888 SV% | 2.92 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • OTT at home vs PIT: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-26	OTT 3 - 4 PIT	PIT	OTT
2026-02-02	PIT 2 - 3 OTT	OTT	PIT
2025-12-18	OTT 4 - 0 PIT	OTT	OTT
2025-03-30	PIT 1 - 0 OTT	PIT	PIT
2025-01-11	PIT 0 - 5 OTT	OTT	OTT

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 67.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Ottawa Senators 3 - 4 Pittsburgh Penguins

Expected: 3.7 - 2.3