Washington Capitals at Utah Hockey Club NHL Predictions

2026-03-26 • Delta Center

Utah Hockey Club 4 - 7 Washington Capitals

🚨 Upset Loss (58% underdog)

Win Probability

UTA: 58.5%

WSH: 41.5%

Expected Goals

UTA: 3.34

WSH: 3.07

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 46%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 25% • UTA at home vs WSH: 0-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-26	UTA 4 - 7 WSH	WSH	UTA
2026-03-03	WSH 2 - 3 UTA	UTA	UTA
2025-02-09	WSH 4 - 5 UTA	UTA	WSH
2024-11-18	UTA 2 - 6 WSH	WSH	UTA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	UTA	19	3	2.27
1	WSH	11	1	0.74
2	UTA	19	0	1.22
2	WSH	13	0	0.65
3	UTA	31	3	2.47
3	WSH	14	2	1.81

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 58.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 11.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Utah Hockey Club 4 - 7 Washington Capitals

Expected: 3.3 - 3.1