New York Islanders at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions
2026-04-04 • Lenovo Center
Carolina Hurricanes 4 - 3 New York Islanders
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
CAR: 80.0%
NYI: 20.0%
Expected Goals
CAR: 3.83
NYI: 1.81
Total Goals
Median: 4.1
Over 5.5: 32%
Over 6.5: 19%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
CAR
Brandon Bussi - 31-6-2 | 0.894 SV% | 2.47 GAA
NYI
Ilya Sorokin - 29-24-2 | 0.906 SV% | 2.68 GAA
| Stat | CAR | NYI |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.901 | 0.910 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.887 | 0.851 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.919 | 0.900 |
| GAA | 2.33 | 2.55 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 69% • CAR at home vs NYI: 7-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-14 | NYI 1 - 2 CAR | CAR | CAR |
| 2026-04-04 | CAR 4 - 3 NYI | CAR | CAR |
| 2025-10-30 | CAR 6 - 2 NYI | CAR | CAR |
| 2025-03-30 | CAR 6 - 4 NYI | CAR | CAR |
| 2025-01-25 | NYI 3 - 2 CAR | NYI | CAR |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 05:17 | NYI | Goal |
| 1 | 11:07 | CAR | Goal |
| 2 | 02:15 | NYI | Goal |
| 2 | 11:15 | CAR | Goal |
| 2 | 16:17 | CAR | Goal |
| 3 | 00:24 | CAR | Goal |
| 3 | 18:23 | CAR | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 80.0%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 5.6
Score Breakdown
Carolina Hurricanes 4 - 3 New York Islanders
Expected: 3.8 - 1.8
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