Washington Capitals at Pittsburgh Penguins NHL Predictions
2026-04-11 • PPG Paints Arena
Pittsburgh Penguins vs Washington Capitals @ 3:00 PM EDT
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
PIT: 68.6%
WSH: 31.4%
Expected Goals
PIT: 3.66
WSH: 2.71
Total Goals
Median: 6.1
Over 5.5: 62%
Over 6.5: 47%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
PIT
Stuart Skinner - 19-12-5 | 0.890 SV% | 2.79 GAA
WSH
Logan Thompson - 20-16-4 | 0.913 SV% | 2.41 GAA
| Stat | PIT | WSH |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.888 | 0.913 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.863 | 0.904 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.750 | — |
| GAA | 2.91 | 2.39 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • PIT at home vs WSH: 2-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-06 | PIT 5 - 3 WSH | PIT | PIT |
| 2025-04-17 | PIT 5 - 2 WSH | PIT | PIT |
| 2025-02-22 | PIT 3 - 8 WSH | WSH | PIT |
| 2025-01-18 | WSH 4 - 1 PIT | WSH | WSH |
| 2024-11-08 | WSH 2 - 4 PIT | PIT | WSH |
🔮 Game Preview
This game is scheduled for 2026-04-11 at 3:00 PM EDT.
Check back after the game for in-game win probability analysis and post-game results.