Tampa Bay Lightning at Buffalo Sabres NHL Predictions

2026-11-11 • KeyBank Center

Buffalo Sabres vs Tampa Bay Lightning @ 7:00 PM EST

Win Probability

BUF: 39.8%

TBL: 60.2%

Expected Goals

BUF: 2.69

TBL: 3.06

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 66%

Over 6.5: 49%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 55% • BUF at home vs TBL: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-06	BUF 4 - 2 TBL	BUF	TBL
2026-03-08	BUF 8 - 7 TBL	BUF	TBL
2026-02-28	TBL 2 - 6 BUF	BUF	TBL
2026-02-03	TBL 4 - 3 BUF	TBL	TBL
2025-04-13	TBL 7 - 4 BUF	TBL	TBL

This game is scheduled for 2026-11-11 at 7:00 PM EST.

Check back after the game for in-game win probability analysis and post-game results.