Buffalo Sabres vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction (Oct 17, 2023)
Buffalo Sabres vs Tampa Bay Lightning — Oct 17, 2023
Model last updated: Aug 26, 2026 09:31 AM PDT; data source: schedule_predictions.csv
Detailed NHL game prediction for Buffalo Sabres vs Tampa Bay Lightning: pregame win probabilities, expected goals, and projected totals from our NHLForecasts model.
Explore more matchups on the NHL games calendar or full modeled schedule. See how this game impacts NHL playoff odds & Stanley Cup probabilities, or review team pages for longer-term edges on Buffalo Sabres and Tampa Bay Lightning.
Buffalo Sabres 63.2%
Tampa Bay Lightning 36.8%
Pregame win probability
Expected goals: Buffalo Sabres 3.58 — Tampa Bay Lightning 2.88 • Median total: 6.4
Expected Goals Comparison
Buffalo Sabres
3.40
xG/game (Season)
Tampa Bay Lightning
3.56
xG/game (Season)
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