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2026-27 Preseason

Pittsburgh Penguins vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction (Nov 25, 2023)

Pittsburgh Penguins vs Toronto Maple Leafs — Nov 25, 2023

Model last updated: Aug 26, 2026 09:31 AM PDT; data source: schedule_predictions.csv

Detailed NHL game prediction for Pittsburgh Penguins vs Toronto Maple Leafs: pregame win probabilities, expected goals, and projected totals from our NHLForecasts model.

Explore more matchups on the NHL games calendar or full modeled schedule. See how this game impacts NHL playoff odds & Stanley Cup probabilities, or review team pages for longer-term edges on Pittsburgh Penguins and Toronto Maple Leafs.

Pittsburgh Penguins 63.3% Toronto Maple Leafs 36.7%
Pregame win probability

Expected goals: Pittsburgh Penguins 3.36 — Toronto Maple Leafs 3.06 • Median total: 6.8

Expected Goals Comparison

Pittsburgh Penguins
3.45
xG/game (Season)
Toronto Maple Leafs
3.05
xG/game (Season)