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2026-27 Preseason

New York Islanders vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction (Jan 11, 2024)

New York Islanders vs Toronto Maple Leafs — Jan 11, 2024

Model last updated: Aug 26, 2026 09:31 AM PDT; data source: schedule_predictions.csv

Detailed NHL game prediction for New York Islanders vs Toronto Maple Leafs: pregame win probabilities, expected goals, and projected totals from our NHLForecasts model.

Explore more matchups on the NHL games calendar or full modeled schedule. See how this game impacts NHL playoff odds & Stanley Cup probabilities, or review team pages for longer-term edges on New York Islanders and Toronto Maple Leafs.

New York Islanders 38.7% Toronto Maple Leafs 61.3%
Pregame win probability

Expected goals: New York Islanders 2.67 — Toronto Maple Leafs 4.42 • Median total: 6.5

Expected Goals Comparison

New York Islanders
3.27
xG/game (Season)
Toronto Maple Leafs
3.05
xG/game (Season)