Tampa Bay Lightning vs Washington Capitals Prediction (Feb 22, 2024)
Tampa Bay Lightning vs Washington Capitals — Feb 22, 2024
Model last updated: Aug 26, 2026 09:31 AM PDT; data source: schedule_predictions.csv
Detailed NHL game prediction for Tampa Bay Lightning vs Washington Capitals: pregame win probabilities, expected goals, and projected totals from our NHLForecasts model.
Explore more matchups on the NHL games calendar or full modeled schedule. See how this game impacts NHL playoff odds & Stanley Cup probabilities, or review team pages for longer-term edges on Tampa Bay Lightning and Washington Capitals.
Tampa Bay Lightning 64.7%
Washington Capitals 35.3%
Pregame win probability
Expected goals: Tampa Bay Lightning 3.55 — Washington Capitals 2.64 • Median total: 6.1
Expected Goals Comparison
Tampa Bay Lightning
3.56
xG/game (Season)
Washington Capitals
3.47
xG/game (Season)
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