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2026-27 Preseason

Montreal Canadiens vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction (Oct 09, 2024)

Montreal Canadiens vs Toronto Maple Leafs — Oct 09, 2024

Model last updated: Aug 26, 2026 09:31 AM PDT; data source: schedule_predictions.csv

Detailed NHL game prediction for Montreal Canadiens vs Toronto Maple Leafs: pregame win probabilities, expected goals, and projected totals from our NHLForecasts model.

Explore more matchups on the NHL games calendar or full modeled schedule. See how this game impacts NHL playoff odds & Stanley Cup probabilities, or review team pages for longer-term edges on Montreal Canadiens and Toronto Maple Leafs.

Montreal Canadiens 50.7% Toronto Maple Leafs 49.3%
Pregame win probability

Expected goals: Montreal Canadiens 3.04 — Toronto Maple Leafs 3.07 • Median total: 6.4

Expected Goals Comparison

Montreal Canadiens
3.44
xG/game (Season)
Toronto Maple Leafs
3.05
xG/game (Season)