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2026-27 Preseason

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Dallas Stars Prediction (Oct 30, 2025)

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Dallas Stars — Oct 30, 2025

Model last updated: Aug 26, 2026 09:31 AM PDT; data source: schedule_predictions.csv

Detailed NHL game prediction for Tampa Bay Lightning vs Dallas Stars: pregame win probabilities, expected goals, and projected totals from our NHLForecasts model.

Explore more matchups on the NHL games calendar or full modeled schedule. See how this game impacts NHL playoff odds & Stanley Cup probabilities, or review team pages for longer-term edges on Tampa Bay Lightning and Dallas Stars.

Tampa Bay Lightning 61.8% Dallas Stars 38.2%
Pregame win probability

Expected goals: Tampa Bay Lightning 3.20 — Dallas Stars 2.81 • Median total: 5.9

Expected Goals Comparison

Tampa Bay Lightning
3.56
xG/game (Season)
Dallas Stars
3.32
xG/game (Season)