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2025-26 Season Live

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Pittsburgh Penguins Prediction (Nov 03, 2025)

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Pittsburgh Penguins — Nov 03, 2025

Model last updated: Oct 31, 2025 05:00 PM PDT; data source: schedule_predictions.csv

Detailed NHL game prediction for Toronto Maple Leafs vs Pittsburgh Penguins: pregame win probabilities, expected goals, and projected totals from our NHLForecasts model.

Explore more matchups on the NHL games calendar or full modeled schedule. See how this game impacts NHL playoff odds & Stanley Cup probabilities, or review team pages for longer-term edges on Toronto Maple Leafs and Pittsburgh Penguins.

Pregame win probability: Toronto Maple Leafs 56.1% • Pittsburgh Penguins 43.9%

Expected goals: Toronto Maple Leafs 3.38 — Pittsburgh Penguins 2.77 • Median total: 6.0

Expected Goals Comparison

Toronto Maple Leafs
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xG/game (Season)
Pittsburgh Penguins
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xG/game (Season)