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2026-27 Preseason

Tampa Bay Lightning vs New York Islanders Prediction (Dec 06, 2025)

Tampa Bay Lightning vs New York Islanders — Dec 06, 2025

Model last updated: Aug 26, 2026 09:31 AM PDT; data source: schedule_predictions.csv

Detailed NHL game prediction for Tampa Bay Lightning vs New York Islanders: pregame win probabilities, expected goals, and projected totals from our NHLForecasts model.

Explore more matchups on the NHL games calendar or full modeled schedule. See how this game impacts NHL playoff odds & Stanley Cup probabilities, or review team pages for longer-term edges on Tampa Bay Lightning and New York Islanders.

Tampa Bay Lightning 56.8% New York Islanders 43.2%
Pregame win probability

Expected goals: Tampa Bay Lightning 2.73 — New York Islanders 2.33 • Median total: 6.4

Expected Goals Comparison

Tampa Bay Lightning
3.56
xG/game (Season)
New York Islanders
3.27
xG/game (Season)
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