Tampa Bay Lightning vs Buffalo Sabres Prediction (Feb 28, 2026)
Tampa Bay Lightning vs Buffalo Sabres — Feb 28, 2026
Model last updated: Feb 26, 2026 12:58 PM PST; data source: schedule_predictions.csv
Detailed NHL game prediction for Tampa Bay Lightning vs Buffalo Sabres: pregame win probabilities, expected goals, and projected totals from our NHLForecasts model.
Explore more matchups on the NHL games calendar or full modeled schedule. See how this game impacts NHL playoff odds & Stanley Cup probabilities, or review team pages for longer-term edges on Tampa Bay Lightning and Buffalo Sabres.
Pregame win probability: Tampa Bay Lightning 59.2% • Buffalo Sabres 40.8%
Expected goals: Tampa Bay Lightning 3.48 — Buffalo Sabres 3.37 • Median total: 7.0
Expected Goals Comparison
Tampa Bay Lightning
3.85
xG/game (Season)
Buffalo Sabres
3.32
xG/game (Season)