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Tampa Bay Lightning vs Carolina Hurricanes Prediction (Mar 14, 2026)

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Carolina Hurricanes — Mar 14, 2026

Model last updated: Mar 11, 2026 11:37 PM PDT; data source: schedule_predictions.csv

Detailed NHL game prediction for Tampa Bay Lightning vs Carolina Hurricanes: pregame win probabilities, expected goals, and projected totals from our NHLForecasts model.

Explore more matchups on the NHL games calendar or full modeled schedule. See how this game impacts NHL playoff odds & Stanley Cup probabilities, or review team pages for longer-term edges on Tampa Bay Lightning and Carolina Hurricanes.

Pregame win probability: Tampa Bay Lightning 56.5% • Carolina Hurricanes 43.5%

Expected goals: Tampa Bay Lightning 3.54 — Carolina Hurricanes 2.87 • Median total: 6.1

Expected Goals Comparison

Tampa Bay Lightning
3.80
xG/game (Season)
Carolina Hurricanes
3.94
xG/game (Season)