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2026-27 Preseason

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Pittsburgh Penguins Prediction (Jan 16, 2027)

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Pittsburgh Penguins — Jan 16, 2027

Model last updated: Aug 08, 2026 09:40 AM PDT; data source: schedule_predictions.csv

Detailed NHL game prediction for Toronto Maple Leafs vs Pittsburgh Penguins: pregame win probabilities, expected goals, and projected totals from our NHLForecasts model.

Explore more matchups on the NHL games calendar or full modeled schedule. See how this game impacts NHL playoff odds & Stanley Cup probabilities, or review team pages for longer-term edges on Toronto Maple Leafs and Pittsburgh Penguins.

Pregame win probability: Toronto Maple Leafs 38.6% • Pittsburgh Penguins 61.4%

Expected goals: Toronto Maple Leafs 1.39 — Pittsburgh Penguins 3.43 • Median total: 6.4

Expected Goals Comparison

Toronto Maple Leafs
3.05
xG/game (Season)
Pittsburgh Penguins
3.45
xG/game (Season)